CDC report predicts 3000 virus deaths in U.S. per day by June

Henrietta Strickland
May 5, 2020

CNN reports an unnamed administration official to confirm the authenticity of the report obtained by the New York Times, which was distributed throughout relevant agencies over the weekend. The projections, on two slides of a 19-slide deck, are dated May 1 and attributed to a "data and analytics task force".

The President was also briefed by Health and Human Services Secretary Secretary Alex Azar about the threat of the coronavirus during a January 18 phone call, according to multiple reports.

The IHME projections are presented as a statistical range of outcomes.

This would see a rise from the current trend of around 25,000 cases each day. The documents are labeled "for official use only". The creator of the model that produced the projections, Justin Lessler of Johns Hopkins, said it was an unfinished projection and that he didn't know how or why it was put into presentation form and distributed to the media.

"There remains a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow", the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) warned according to the daily.

Deputy White House press secretary Judd Deere said at the time: "It is counterproductive to have the very individuals involved in those efforts appearing at congressional hearings".

"This data is not reflective of any of the modelling done by the taskforce or data that the task force has analysed".

"These preliminary analyses were provided to FEMA to aid in scenario planning - not to be used as forecasts - and the version published is not a final version", Joshua Sharfstein, the school's vice dean of public health practice said in a statement. "This data was presented as an FYI to CDC ... it was not in any way meant to be a forecast", Lessler told The Washington Post.

Although Trump has acknowledged that deaths in the US will be twice as much as he predicted just two weeks ago, his new numbers significantly underestimate what his own administration predicts the total death toll to be by the end of the month, not even including the fatalities after that date.

After the initial reopening of some workplaces, a second phase would let insurance, retail, administrative support and real estate businesses open again, followed by restaurants, food services, hotels and accommodation businesses in the third stage, Cuomo said. The actual number of total cases in the outbreak ended up being about 28,600, according to the CDC.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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