Tropical development possible in the Gulf of Mexico ahead of the weekend

James Marshall
October 18, 2019

As hard as forecasters work to provide the most accurate outlooks and information, sometimes tropical systems play tricks on them.

On Friday, forecasters predict cloudy conditions and a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day with winds of 8 to 10 miles per hour.

The NHC is giving it a 90% chance of turning into a tropic storm within the next 48 hours-if so, it will be named Nestor.

Along the Florida coast from east of Apalachicola and around the Big Bend to near the Tampa area, unsafe storm surge is a significant threat. Grand Isle, Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River is also under a tropical storm warning.

The storms anticipated path flows through parts of Alabama, Georgia and northern Florida.

High schools from Alabama to the eastern Florida Panhandle canceled or postponed football games scheduled for Friday night, and officials in Panama City tried to assure residents that the storm wouldn't be a repeat of Category 5 Hurricane Michael previous year.

Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the the warning area by late Friday.

Storm surge warnings have been issued from Apalachicola to Clearwater.

On its forecast track, this system will make an approach into the Florida Panhandle early Saturday.

Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards added, "Until we know the exact track of the storm & the potential impact areas, it is important for everyone to stay informed & prepare now".

"It is possible that tropical activity effectively shuts down after the Gulf of Mexico system this week", he added.

Along with a rain and wind threat, as with many tropical systems we will see the possibility of isolated severe storms.

Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended from the Aucilla River to Yankeetown, Fla.

"Right now it's going south of New England", she said of Tropical Storm Nestor.

Drenching rain and localized flooding will be the main impact from the storm as it moves along over the Southeastern states.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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