Here's NOAA's 2019-2020 winter weather forecast

James Marshall
October 18, 2019

The National Weather Service in Boston warned people for plenty of cold and snow this winter, despite the predictions.

The forecast calls for a 40-50 percent chance of higher than normal precipitation through the December-February time frame.

"Without either El Niño or La Niña conditions, short-term climate patterns like the Arctic Oscillation will drive winter weather and could result in large swings in temperature and precipitation", said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the Climate Prediction Center. However, that's not as predictable as far out as El Niño/La Niña - only a couple of weeks in advance.

"It's something to keep an eye out on and see how the winter progresses", said one of NOAA's climate experts David Miskus, a meteorologist at the federal agency's Climate Prediction Center, to the Chronicle.

Also, the much-loathed "Warm Blob" - an unusually hot oceanic patch in the northeastern part of the Pacific Ocean, known for disrupting weather patterns in the Northern Hemisphere and wreaking havoc on marine life - is expected to thwart rainfall and cooler weather in California, albeit for only a short while.

In our region, there is not a strong signal that indicates that the average winter temperature is likely to go one way or the other.

Drier-than-average conditions are most likely for portions of the Gulf Coast, including Louisiana and eastern Texas.

The remainder of the USA falls into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average precipitation.

Drought development is expected to occur in parts of central California.

NOAA's outlook suggests Kentucky has a 33% chance of seeing average temperatures. "Before snow lovers start rejoicing, this doesn't necessarily mean we'll end up with more than our 26" average snowfall. As for temperatures, those look to be average for the season.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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