Tropical Storm Humberto increases odds of development as it heads toward Florida

James Marshall
September 11, 2019

Because the system is still so disorganized, there is not a lot of agreement among forecast models about where it will go after that, but most suggest it will continue on towards the northern Gulf Coast.

Should the system organize into a tropical depression it will be the ninth recorded depression of the year, and if it then grows to maintain at least 39 miles per hour sustained winds, it would become Tropical Storm Humberto.

What does that mean for you?

"It will be moving west-northwest and it will increase our chance for rain by Friday", said Fox 35 meteorologist Kristin Giannas.

The Bahamas will experience several inches rain which could inhibit recovery effort post Hurricane Dorian. By Friday, it had formed into a full tropical storm as it continued to move towards the United Kingdom.

The National Hurricane Center is giving this area of disturbed weather only a 20% chance of development within the next two days. Rain coverage today should be around 40%, and storms could start firing up a little earlier in the day.

The National Hurricane Center has given Invest95L ("Invest" short for Investigative Area) a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression or stronger in the next 5 days.

Three other tropical waves have the potential for developing including a feature approaching the southeastern Bahamas that should boost rain and breeze across Florida including Jacksonville by the end of the week. Some slow development is possible over the weekend or early next week when the system is expected to be a couple of hundred miles east of the lesser Antilles. The hurricane center is only giving us a 20% chance of development within the next five days and zero chance with in the next two.

"Still a long ways off and this is way out in the Atlantic, but this is an area we'll watch pretty closely as we get into next week", Weber added. Both had low chances of development as of Wednesday morning. High pressure will rebuild tomorrow and Friday dropping the rain chances, and temperatures will soar into the mid 90s once again.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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