New Poll: Sanders, Warren Surging While Biden, Harris Slip

Henrietta Strickland
September 11, 2019

CNN reported on Tuesday that the DNC and ABC News, the network hosting the third Democratic debate, have sent advisories to participating candidates telling them not to swear when they face off against each other on Thursday night.

According to the poll conducted by CBS/YouGov, 8 of 10 Sanders supporters would be "enthusiastic or satisfied" if Warren becomes the Democratic nominee for president. The high point of her summer came in the first debate, when she invoked her personal story to strike former Vice President Joe Biden on the debate stage over busing. But she struggled to build on what was ultimately a scripted, through highly effective, moment.

"We weren't rude for you", she said. After the second debate, her numbers continued to tank.

In a CBS/YouGov poll published Sunday, Warren, who like Sanders has targeted New Hampshire with a strong ground game, is leading the field with 27%.

Seventy-five percent of Democratic voters now say they have a favorable impression of Warren - that's up from 53% in January, the last time the poll asked the favorability of candidates or potential candidates.

But she's facing some tough headwinds.

Warren was notably one of the more progressive lawmakers to endorse Clinton's primary candidacy against Sen. More fundamentally, her rationale for seeking the presidency seems unfocused.

"Look, we have at every one of our events, some of the biggest enthusiasm in terms of people responding to our message", Harris said.

"I will not be voting for him again".

A central challenge for Harris in the months ahead will be to offer a compelling - and succinct - reason she should be elected. We need a Warren or a Sanders or an Ocasio-Cortez. Mark my words: If Joe Biden is the Democratic candidate, he will lose terribly to Trump.

Harris' articulation of her theory of the case is less succinct.

When Warren strolled onto stage, she went for an approach similar to Sanders, but with a markedly different tone that has been the major difference between the two candidates who inhabit much of the same political space.

"When she's debating and she's on stage, she's very convincing in her argument, but I'm not sure exactly - I don't know what her, in here, in her heart, why she's running and why she wants to be president", said Sarah Curtin, 42, of Rye, New Hampshire. "And I think that's really important for us to find out". "I'm still introducing myself to people". A five-day bus trip around the Iowa state fair was well-received, but Harris hasn't been back to the state in almost a month. New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman tweeted that the president's team "don't share POTUS conviction that he can hate-tweet her away, and see her ability to capitalize on the populist/outsider energy he ran on in 2016". However, she has made more trips to SC and Nevada than any other top-tier candidate.

"She made a decision to back Hillary Clinton in 2016 over Bernie Sanders because, I think. she knows she's got that left side locked up", the former press secretary for ex-President George W. Bush added.

Warren, the progressive MA senator, has been just behind Sanders for much of 2019, but has surged ahead of the Vermont senator in a number of recent national surveys, as well as the latest poll of New Hampshire voters.

The broader electorate isn't quite sold on either of Biden or Warren.

"One of the initial senses of what Joe Biden presented was that he seemed to be less of a risk", Miringoff said, "but his performance so far has not been gaffe-proof, and, as a result, people are not as comfortable, and that opened up the door for others, and particularly Warren".

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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