Climate forecasters say ME likely to have above-average temps this winter

James Marshall
October 20, 2018

"That does not mean that below average temperatures can not occur", Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement.

During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the USA and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

A weak El Niño, described by NOAA as a warming of parts of the Pacific Ocean, is likely to occur this winter, which may contribute to increased precipitation in the southern United States and parts of the East Coast, according to NOAA.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out. The greatest chance for warmer than normal winter weather is in Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, Montana, northern Wyoming and western North Dakota.

"We expect El Nino to be in place in late fall to early winter", said NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Deputy Director Mike Halpert, according to CNN.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the USA, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

-Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

-Drier-than-average conditions are most likely in parts of the northern Rockies and Northern Plains, as well as in the Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley.

NOAA's seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperatures and precipitation will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are expected to change, but the outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations. "We stand by our forecast and formula, which accurately predicted the many storms last winter, as well as this summer's steamy, hot conditions", editor Peter Geiger wrote.

Even so, it's no time to ditch the shovels and heavy winter jackets, with NOAA warning that its forecast does not mean the winter of 2018-2019 will not feature major snowstorms.

Cold air and even some snow blanketed areas of Maine Thursday, but the National Weather Service predictions indicate that Maine might experience a milder-than-average winter.

Keep your eyes peeled for the next NOAA update on November 15.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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