NWS: Weather could get severe

Elias Hubbard
May 5, 2018

With a cold front slowly sagging southward across the state, and an abundant reservoir of warmth and moisture still in place, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to march eastward through our area.

Lingering showers and t-storms will continue Thursday morning through 11 AM and a few of these still could be on the strong to severe side for the AM commute.

We'll see storms start to fire up in KS and OK after 7 PM tonight. The red is a Moderate Risk, the orange an Enhanced Risk, the yellow a Slight Risk and the dark green (south of I-96 in Michigian) is a Marginal or Low Risk.

A almost stationary front to our northwest, combined with a series of disturbances moving along it will trigger a couple of rounds of thunderstorms over the FOX 17 viewing area through Friday morning. Occasional showers and storms are on the docket for our last day of the work week.

This chart shows the most common time of day when severe thunderstorms are expected. Expect to experience some good heavy down pours of rain, some thunder, lightning, and even possible hail. Clouds will gradually clear leading to partly cloudy skies.

Temperatures have been running rampant over the past several days and Wednesday is expected to be the third 80 degree day in a row. Winds will instead be coming more out of the southwest which help to warm temperatures up.

We have issued a *FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY* for today. However, the key factor will be the placement of the frontal boundary as far as how high temperatures will climb for Thursday.

There is a 20 percent chance of rain and thunderstorms today; however, that chance increases to 60 percent tonight after midnight, with the NWS predicting thunderstorms are likely to occur. A Marginal Risk suggests severe weather is expected to be isolated and not widespread.

Some storms may produce strong, gusty winds and heavy rain. Often during monsoon season we'll see storms roll down the mountains between 1 to 4pm but for the stronger, severe storms that typically generate a warning, the most common occurrence is 5 to 6pm after more heat has been built into the day.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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