Final Atlantic Tropical Predictions: Expect an Above Average Season

Elias Hubbard
August 12, 2017

An estimated $28.3 trillion worth of homes, businesses and infrastructure in the 18 Atlantic coastal states are vulnerable to hurricane strikes.

There are two primary reasons for the increase in predicted tropical activity since the start of the current tropical season.

The Atlantic Ocean now faces a higher likelihood of an "extremely active" hurricane season with more storms than previously predicted, USA forecasters warned Wednesday, updating the previous outlook issued in May.

Previously, NOAA said there would be two to four major hurricanes this season, and five to nine hurricanes overall. The storm is expected to dissipate late Thursday or early Friday. Hurricane season typically lasts from June 1 to November 30. Historically, the peak comes between August and October.

The update decreases the chance of a near-normal season from 35 percent to 30 percent, and a below-normal season from 20 percent to only 10 percent from the initial outlook issued in May. The numbers announced on Wednesday include the season activity to-date. "This is, in part, because the chance of El Niño forming, which tends to prevent storms from strengthening, has dropped significantly from May".

Forecasters said hurricane-force winds extended up to 35 miles from the center of the storm and tropical storm-force winds extended up to 150 miles.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast of Mexico south of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas and north of Cabo Rojo to Barra del Tordo, according to the center.

The second landfall "will be much stronger than the first one", churning up waves up to five meters high, said Alberto Hernandez, an official with Mexico's National Meteorological Service.

Earlier this week, Hurricane Franklin became the first hurricane in the Bay of Campeche since 2007, reaching hurricane status for about 12hrs before landfall north of Veracruz, Mexico.

Franklin weakened to a tropical storm after it made landfall in eastern Mexico early Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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