Tracking the Tropics update for 7/16/17

James Marshall
July 17, 2017

It's much too soon to say if either will affect the U.S.

That disturbance, 95-L, is about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands and moving west.

"The associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show some signs of organization, but the system appears to lack a well-defined centre at this time", it said.

The disturbance is expected to reach the Lesser Antilles late Tuesday or early Wednesday, bringing heavy rainful and gusty winds even if it doesn't turn into a tropical depression.

The First Alert Weather team is tracking the tropics where the first of the two areas of low pressure is being investigated by a hurricane hunter aircraft Monday afternoon.

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Although this system is close to dry air, some slow development is possible over the next few days, according to National Hurricane Center forecaster Dan Brown.

Its chance of formation is around 20 percent within the next two days, or 30 per cent in the next five days. Fernanda's maximum sustained winds had increased to 100 miles per hour (155 kph).

The National Hurricane Center in Miami will likely hand off forecasting for Fernanda to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu late this week as Fernanda tracks into its forecast area.

The storm was heading in the general direction of Hawaii, but forecasters said it is expected to lose strength in the coming days.

Other reports by Click Lancashire

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